Wednesday, September 18, 2024

Answer: What is the oldest city in the Americas?

 Simple questions are

sometimes harder... 

Mythical ancient city by Imagen

... than you'd expect.   

This Challenge is like that.  It's a very straight-forward question that might not have the simplest answer.  It's up to you to figure this out! 

1.  What is the oldest city in the Americas? 


You'd think that just asking a search engine or an LLM would give you the answer and you'd be done.  Right?  

Well... if there's any deep lesson from SearchResearch, it's that things are never as simple as you'd expect... there's always something deeper and more interesting behind the question.  

Every question, even something as straight-forward as this, needs a bit of definition help.  The answer--no surprise--is going to depend on how you define "city" and how you define "oldest."  

First things first: How do we define a city?  Is it just population or "level of sophistication" or some combination?  

By the dictionary definition, a city is just "a large number of people who live fairly close together."  True, that, but not particularly precise.  What's "large" and "close together"?  

Remember that in the year 0, Rome was around 1 million people in size, while London was only around 1.4 sq km (0.5 sq mi) and home to less than 5,000 people.  Of course, by the year 537 AD, Rome's population had fallen to around 30,000 souls, while London had risen to around the same number.  

Populations come and go--cities are built, grow, prosper, decline, and sometimes lose everyone becoming less than a hamlet.  

So we have a couple of definitional questions to answer before we get to the key Challenge. 

a. how many people make up a city? 

b. how large an area does a city have to be?  (Or does population density make a city?) 

c. does the length of time a city is occupied make a difference in our question?  

I mention all of these variables because in order to answer the question, we need to pick some values.  (In some sense, it doesn't really matter which values you pick, as long as most people will agree that "this is a city at this time.")  When Rome fell to 30,000 people, was it still a city?  I'd say so, partly because of history, but also because they were fairly densely packed together.  

So, for our purposes here, a city is an assembly of more than 2000 people living in a small area that supports commercial activity, with some kind of government or ceremonial / religious functions.  (We'll ignore continuity for the moment.  If the city lasted for more than 5 years, it is--or was--a city for our discussion.)  

Once you get beyond definitions, you might think you could just ask all of the ChatBot LLMs and Search Engines this question, "What is the oldest city in the Americas?"  

When you do that, this is what you get:  



The answers vary based on differing assumptions that each system makes.  

Bing, for example, only shows St. Augustine, FL... but the first organic result points to the Wikipedia article on "List of cities in the Americas by year of foundation" (we'll look at that in a minute).  

Some of the systems expose their assumptions.  Gemini's reply includes the supposition for each: 

"If you consider the oldest continuously inhabited city founded by Europeans, it's Santo Domingo in the Dominican Republic, established in 1496.    If you're looking for the oldest continuously inhabited city in North America founded by Europeans, that would be St. Augustine, Florida, founded in 1565. However, if you're talking about the oldest city in the Americas overall, the answer is Caral, Peru. It's an archaeological site dating back to around 3500 BCE, making it one of the oldest cities in the world."

That's a good response, but it does NOT expose any of the other cities that might qualify.  (And is pretty North American biased as well since it lists Euro-towns before the older places in Peru, but I digress.)  

If you just look at the cities listed here and collect their founding dates (as given by the search/AI systems), you'll have this:


THIS is why doing a comparison table is a great idea--you can see the different options and the different assumptions that were made.  With this table we can look at each of these claims one at a time.  Let's do a little digging for each of these claims.  

Tlapacoya is claimed by Perplexity to date to 7500 BCE.  That's quite a claim.  By doing a bit of Google searching, it's clearly a city by 1500 BCE, but there are some artifacts going waaay back, including some rather controversial ones dated to 25,000 BCE.  (They're so controversial that we're going to ignore them here.) But where did the 7500 BCE claim come from? 

When I pushed Perplexity on this [why did you say that Tlapacoya dates to 7500 BCE] it rapidly backpedaled and claimed--falsely--that "I did not mention that date."  Harrumph.  Yes you did.  I have the screencapture to prove it.  Sigh. So this seems bogus... The actual founding date of Tlapacoya seems to be 1500 BCE.  

Footnote:  I figured out where the claim of 7500 BCE for the start of Tlapacoya comes from... it was scraped from the Wikipedia article, List of Cities in the Americas without careful verification.  Oops!  There is an error on the internet... Perplexity just forgot what it was trained on.  

Aspero was pretty clearly a city (with major buildings, large temples, and agricultural fields) by 3000 BCE.  It was part of the Caral-Supe civilization which goes back even farther. (The Caral-Supe culture seems to date to 5000 BCE, but cities started later and can be reliably dated to ca. 3700 BCE.)  
Huaricanga was also connected with the Caral-Supe culture and dates to 3500 BCE.  There are more major buildings and temples and possibly a connection to Aspero.  

Caral seems to have had several thousand inhabitants starting around 2600 BCE, centrally located to all of the Carl-Supe sites.

HOWEVER... while reading about Caral, I stumbled across a mention of site that was possibly older--a place called Bandurria.  Curious about this place (which wasn't mentioned by any search engine or LLM), I did a bit of searching and found dates for Bandurria that are around 3000 BCE--older than Caral, but newer than Huaricanga. (See Paleodiet in Late Preceramic Peru: Preliminary Isotopic Data From Bandurria)

Odd, isn't it?  A major city that is contender for oldest city in the Americas, and it doesn't show up in any of the search/LLMs.  

There are a couple other sites that are quite old e.g., Puerto Hormiga in Columbia, or Celilo Falls (aka Wyam) in Washington state--but both of these seem to be ephemeral villages or trading locations--they have long histories as temporary settlements, but never quite made it to city status.  

Bottom line:  The "oldest city in the Americas" tag has to go to Aspero (3710 BCE), with Huaricanga (3500 BCE) and Bandurria (3000 BCE) close behind. All of these cities had more than 2,000 inhabitants, lasted for many years, and were centers of commerce and religion.  

And our new table has moved Tlapacoya to the fifth position, and added Badurria into position three.



SearchResearch Lessons

1. Compare and contrast different sources.  You know, we've talked about "second sourcing" your results. In this case, I compared eight different systems (search engines + LLM chatbots).  As you can see in the table above, the answers are VERY different from each other.  In some cases, the results are just plain wrong.  (Interestingly, not because they're hallucinating, but because they trained on data that was incorrect, which then surfaced in their outputs.)  

2. Building a comparison table is handy. Not just because you can then use the table to work through the different results, but also so you can see the huge variety of results.  When the "answers" are this different from each other, you have to be fairly skeptical... which we found was the right thing to be.  

3. Remember that search results might be incomplete!  I found Bandurria because I noticed the unusual name when scanning the results.  Checking into it, I found the 3rd oldest city in the Americas... and a result that NONE of the systems surfaced!  

4. When doing search comparisons like this, make your definitions clear so people will know what you're comparing. 


Keep searching!  







18 comments:

  1. This in one of those questions where semantics does matter. There's nothing, other than personal whim, to say that 2000 inhabitants is the correct number. (To many readers, 2000 represents a town, or large settlement, not a "city"). If the questions is asking about cities specifically, not towns or large settlements, then we need to define the difference between them. I suggest that the "correct" answer to the question will depend on when the original inhabitants themselves started to use a distinct word, that differented their "city" from other places where lots of people lived in close proximity to one another.

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    1. Absolutely! It's also worth noting that definitions of city (vs. town, vs. village, etc.) have changed a great deal over time. Many prehistory "cities" were fairly small in population.

      I like your suggestion that when the terminology changed would be a good definitional moment. Unfortunately, for many of those prehistoric town/city shifts we don't have any written record, so it will be unrecoverable. Good thought, though.

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    2. Peru government site of Bandurria

      https://consultasenlinea.mincetur.gob.pe/fichaInventario/index.aspx?cod_Ficha=3369#:~:text=Bandurria%20cuenta%20con%20una%20antig%C3%BCedad,presencia%20humana%20en%20la%20zona.

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  2. Very interesting as usual, Dan. Thank you. In Michigan history classes as a kid, we were taught that Sault Ste. Marie is the 2nd oldest city in the U.S. after St. Augustine. In this post, I was wondering if Acoma Pueblo the "Sky City" would come up (1144AD or so).

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    1. many qualifications & disclaimers…
      a list
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_oldest_continuously_inhabited_cities
      from the list:
      "1668 AD - A single settlement until 1817, when it was divided into Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario, Canada and Sault Ste. Marie, Michigan, United States. The latter is the oldest European-founded city in the Midwestern United States and third-oldest US city west of the Appalachian Mountains. "
      a sampling from each U.S. state
      https://matadornetwork.com/read/oldest-city-every-state/
      kinda like google maps -
      https://www.faena.com/aleph/seven-ancient-maps-of-the-americas
      as to the definition – (so cities are all about 's…?')
      "● presence of some kind of sewer system"
      https://www.worldhistory.org/city/
      "The city of Uruk, today considered the oldest in the world"
      on the ball, as a whole - a brain-child of a Nimrod…
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uruk
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gilgamesh

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  3. some naming bits…
    Turtle Island: (audio)
    https://greenwichhistory.org/whats-in-a-name-americas-first-name/
    https://blogs.loc.gov/loc/2016/07/how-did-america-get-its-name/
    https://www.google.com/search?q=etymology+of+%22america%22&rlz=1CAACAC_enUS1032&oq=etymology+of+%22america%22&aqs=chrome..69i57j0l5.24261j0j7&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8

    quick references:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Portal:Latin_America
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Portal:North_America
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_(word)

    ReplyDelete
  4. off topic, but AI related - in a vegetable sense (I think it is a pretty good image)
    https://www.makeuseof.com/why-ai-art-doesnt-look-good/
    https://static1.makeuseofimages.com/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/midjourney-image-of-vegetables-on-a-table.jpeg?q=50&fit=crop&w=1500&dpr=1.5
    scroll
    https://www.makeuseof.com/how-to-create-desktop-background-using-ai/
    https://elephant.art/vegetables-art-symbolism-guiseppe-arcimboldo-15012020/
    https://www.vice.com/en/article/old-paintings-reveal-how-fruits-and-vegetables-have-evolved-over-the-centuries/
    http://albertis-window.blogspot.com/2011/07/strawberries-as-earthly-delight.html
    early AI?
    https://art-sheep.com/14-little-known-facts-about-the-garden-of-earthly-delights/

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  5. fwiw: still picking through the dustbin - $240 (inflation)
    need to build a comparison coffee table…
    https://s16home.com/products/antique-galvanized-steel-witt-no-2-waste-can-c-1910
    Mohenjo-daro aka, Kukkuṭārma
    https://maps.app.goo.gl/W9Wwqb3Un2Ttxtjf7
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mohenjo-daro
    https://www.harappa.com/mohenjo-daro/mohenjodaroessay.html
    https://www.harappa.com/slideshows/mohenjo-daro
    https://youtu.be/zDrCIQtNvxk?si=l2sxA9uy3u7gv7b3
    https://www.academia.edu/36019850
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dancing_Girl_(sculpture)
    a foretelling? 🤖
    https://youtu.be/ASsNtti1XZs?si=yJu2jmOmVOUmItbq
    https://www.tristanharris.com/

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  6. side note -
    "unintended consequences of technology … pushed customers to order more food than they do at the cash register."
    https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/20/business/self-service-kiosks-mcdonalds-shake-shack/index.html
    fatter through AI…
    (maybe that is how AI kills off the humans? シ)

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    Replies
    1. Fascinating find. I don't know if this is the way AI kills off humans, but it's a start. I'll do a bit more research on this!

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    2. also generates new data to be implemented and/or sold…
      "4. Improve Consumer Behavior
      There was an interesting shift in consumer behavior when presented with the option of ordering via a self-service kiosk. The average order size increased by 20%, and the average order value rose by 30%. Self-service has dramatically changed how people act when ordering.

      This increase in order value and size was credited to the kiosk’s ability to upsell; customers who wouldn’t usually buy drinks or dessert were now ordering these add-ons when the kiosk would offer them."

      https://www.wavetec.com/blog/mcdonalds-leveraging-self-service-technologies/
      https://www.google.com/search?q=mcdonald+kioshs+encourage+over+eating&rlz=1CAACAC_enUS1032&oq=mcdonald+kioshs+encourage+over+eating&aqs=chrome..69i57j33l2.27502j0j7&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8
      https://businessmodelanalyst.com/mcdonalds-swot-analysis/
      https://www.dailydot.com/news/mcdonalds-kiosk-tricks-customers/

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    3. https://www.gocomics.com/pearlsbeforeswine/2024/09/24

      Delete
    4. https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/
      https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/current-time/
      https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2023/jul/07/five-ways-ai-might-destroy-the-world-everyone-on-earth-could-fall-over-dead-in-the-same-second
      a potential question for AI… and an example of impending unexpected consequences.
      https://www.japantimes.co.jp/commentary/2024/09/23/world/killing-one-species-to-save-another/
      https://www.newscientist.com/article/2410839-theres-a-5-chance-of-ai-causing-humans-to-go-extinct-say-scientists/
      https://www.cnn.com/2024/03/12/business/artificial-intelligence-ai-report-extinction/index.html
      "Irrational humans have a long history of fearing some bogeyman." "Baba Yaga?"
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baba_Yaga
      https://knowledge.insead.edu/career/will-artificial-intelligence-kill-us-all
      https://screenrant.com/john-wick-baba-yaga-real-meaning-boogeyman-explained/
      set design by proto-AI -
      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MdWGp3HQVjU

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  7. Dr. Russell why Bandurria wasn't mentioned by any LLMs?

    Do you think maybe some criteria made that city not a city?

    Maybe there are hidden other Bandurria?

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    1. I just think that there wasn't a lot of material in the training set for the LLMs. Remember that LLMs don't work well with simple factual information--there has to be a LOT of material in the training set for it to "know" that something is true. I suspect that if we could somehow look in the training set data, we just wouldn't find a lot on Bandurria.

      There very well could be other missing cities!

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  8. it seems reasonable to think there would be sizable shell middens/mounds at Aspero?… since they built large elevated platforms and needed fill.
    "At first, the society was believed to have been built by hunter-gatherer-fishers, people who tended orchards but otherwise primarily relied on maritime resources."
    https://www.thoughtco.com/caral-earliest-civilization-in-new-world-172680
    MFAC:
    https://www.hallofmaat.com/ancientamerican/the-maritime-foundations-of-andean-civilization-an-evolving-hypothesis/
    "The diet of Aspero is believed to have been primarily maritime because of its proximity to the Pacific Ocean. Fish hooks and nets have also been found in trash middens which suggests that the initial development of ancient Peruvian culture was based on fishing, shellfish collecting, and hunting sea mammals, rather than agriculture"

    building technique - (might be suitable for SF/Cali?)
    https://www.historicmysteries.com/archaeology/shicra/37556/

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  9. Octo-distraction -
    https://www.nbcnews.com/science/science-news/octopuses-hunt-with-fish-punch-video-rcna171705

    ReplyDelete